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内容简介
来源:财金速递 近来央行连发四箭,下调多个关键利率,包括7天期逆回购操作利率下调10个基点至1.7%;阶段性减免MLF质押品;LPR下调10个基点;SLF利率下调10个基点。此番连环举措对债市影响如何? 参考历史,降息即是利好。但天风证券指出,此次央行提示长期利率风险,债市交易空间有限。未来需关注央行风险提示下限变化、货币政策外增量政策以及外围汇率和美债走势。汇安基金多策略组混合资产投资总监张昆也认为,经济长期向好态势仍将持续,宏观政策将有机配合,进一步降低社会融资成本,为经济高质量发展提供动力,长期来看,利率中枢将维持稳健运行。 具体到此次降息“组合拳”对各期限利率的影响,国盛证券分析道,降息直接意味着政策利率水平的下降,而且本次是资金价格和贷款利率同时下降,这意味着整体的曲线的下移,因而对各期限利率来说均是利好。对短端利率来说,资金价格中枢从此前的1.8%下移到1.7%,短端利率空间将进一步打开。如果短端随资金价格进一步下行,长端也有望随之下降。但从央行表态看,政策对长端利率依然谨慎,在利率下行过程中依然需要关注政策干预风险。 中信建投也提醒道,随着降息后资金利率中枢下移带来套息空间打开,可能带来套息空间打开与杠杆率再度提升,增大债市波动性。面对后续债市短期波动可能加大,投资者又该如何借助债基把握投资机遇? 在各类债基中,与股市绝缘、专注债券投资的纯债基金是应对波动的治愈系神器,备受投资者青睐。或许由于债市短期波动,部分投资者还在纠结到底是该买长还是买短,实际上中长期纯债基金和短期纯债基金各自属性和定位不同,在资产配置中所扮演的角色也不同,投资者可根据自身需求和偏好巧妙混搭,组成更适合自己的债基“搭子”。 短期纯债基金投资债券剩余期限短,一般不超过三年,流动性相对更好,更适宜作为资金中转站和闲钱理财加油站。而中长期纯债基金对投资的债券资产剩余期限没有明确的限制,既可以投资短期债券,也可以投资剩余期限超过三年的长期债券,满足了投资者夯实资产配置底基的需求。投资者可从历史表现、回撤控制、固收团队实力、基金份额、费率结构等多个角度入手,精挑细选绩优债基。 作为持续深耕固收赛道的基金公司,汇安基金旗下有多只纯债基金供投资者选择,其中张昆管理的汇安裕同纯债债券基金属于中长期纯债基金。截至今年二季末,汇安裕同纯债债券A自2022年6月22日成立来连续8个季度实现正收益,且最大回撤仅-0.47%,同期业绩比较基准最大回撤-1.34%。“强市力争超额,弱市严控回撤”的硬核表现,也让该基金日益得到投资者认可,今年二季度净申购份额合计超10亿份。 而在短期纯债基金领域,长期专注于宏观利率与信用投资研究的黄济宽,其担纲的汇安中短债债券基金曾在2023年8月曾荣获上海证券报“金基金·债券基金三年期奖”。据二季报统计,汇安中短债债券A(005601)自2019年9月17日成立来连续四个自然年(2020年-2023年)均收益为正,成立来累计回报18.83%,同期业绩比较基准14.30%;成立来最大回撤控制在-1%左右,为-1.08%,同期业绩比较基准最大回撤为-1.48%。 为了满足不同投资者的需求偏好,汇安中短债债券基金还设立了A类、C类、D类、E类和F类五类份额,其中汇安中短债债券A(005601)、汇安中短债债券C(005602)和汇安中短债债券E(007211)均需持有满30天免赎回费,汇安中短债债券D(020173)份额持有满7天就免赎回费,近期增设的汇安中短债债券F(021806)持有满10天免赎回费。 总体而言,不管是中长期纯债基金还是短期纯债基金,作为基金篮子的一员,配置价值持续值得关注,投资者可根据自身投资偏好和流动性需求选择更合适自己的绩优品种,来提升投资体验。 风险提示:本文观点不构成投资建议或承诺,基金指数表现及基金过往业绩不预示基金未来表现。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。